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Bayesian Analysis with Python

You're reading from   Bayesian Analysis with Python A practical guide to probabilistic modeling

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Product type Paperback
Published in Jan 2024
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781805127161
Length 394 pages
Edition 3rd Edition
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Author (1):
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Osvaldo Martin Osvaldo Martin
Author Profile Icon Osvaldo Martin
Osvaldo Martin
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Table of Contents (15) Chapters Close

Preface
1. Chapter 1 Thinking Probabilistically FREE CHAPTER 2. Chapter 2 Programming Probabilistically 3. Chapter 3 Hierarchical Models 4. Chapter 4 Modeling with Lines 5. Chapter 5 Comparing Models 6. Chapter 6 Modeling with Bambi 7. Chapter 7 Mixture Models 8. Chapter 8 Gaussian Processes 9. Chapter 9 Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 10. Chapter 10 Inference Engines 11. Chapter 11 Where to Go Next 12. Bibliography
13. Other Books You May Enjoy
14. Index

6.2 The bikes model, Bambi’s version

The first model we are going to use to illustrate how to use Bambi is the bikes model from Chapter 4. We can load the data with:

Code 6.8

bikes = pd.read_csv("data/bikes.csv")

Now we can build and fit the model:

Code 6.9

model_t = bmb.Model("rented ∼ temperature", bikes, family="negativebinomial") 
idata_t = model_t.fit()

Figure 6.2 shows a visual representation of the model. If you want to visually inspect the priors, you can use model.plot_priors():

PIC

Figure 6.2: A visual representation of the bikes model, computed with the command model.graph()

Let’s now plot the posterior mean and the posterior predictive distribution (predictions). Omitting some details needed to make the plots look nice, the code to do this is:

Code 6.10

_, axes = plt.subplots(1, 2, sharey=True, figsize=(12, 4)) 
bmb.interpret.plot_predictions(model_t, idata_t, 
   ...
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