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Bayesian Analysis with Python

You're reading from   Bayesian Analysis with Python Introduction to statistical modeling and probabilistic programming using PyMC3 and ArviZ

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Product type Paperback
Published in Dec 2018
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781789341652
Length 356 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Osvaldo Martin Osvaldo Martin
Author Profile Icon Osvaldo Martin
Osvaldo Martin
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Table of Contents (11) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Thinking Probabilistically FREE CHAPTER 2. Programming Probabilistically 3. Modeling with Linear Regression 4. Generalizing Linear Models 5. Model Comparison 6. Mixture Models 7. Gaussian Processes 8. Inference Engines 9. Where To Go Next?
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Information criteria

Information criteria is a collection of different and somehow related tools that are used to compare models in terms of how well they fit the data while taking into account their complexity through a penalization term. In other words, information criteria formalizes the intuition we developed at the beginning of this chapter. We need a proper way to balance how well a model explains the data on the one hand, and how complex the model is on the other hand.

The exact way these quantities are derived has to do with a field known as information theory, something that is beyond the scope of this book, so we are going to limit ourselves to understand them from a practical point of view.

Log-likelihood and deviance

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