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Hands-On Markov Models with Python

You're reading from   Hands-On Markov Models with Python Implement probabilistic models for learning complex data sequences using the Python ecosystem

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Product type Paperback
Published in Sep 2018
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781788625449
Length 178 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Authors (2):
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Ankur Ankan Ankur Ankan
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Ankur Ankan
Abinash Panda Abinash Panda
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Abinash Panda
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Toc

Bayesian learning

In the maximum-likelihood approach to learning, we try to find the most optimal parameters for our model that maximizes our likelihood function. But data in real life is usually really noisy, and in most cases, it doesn't represent the true underlying distribution. In such cases, the maximum-likelihood approach fails. For example, consider tossing a fair coin a few times. It is possible that all of our tosses result in either heads or tails. If we use a maximum-likelihood approach on this data, it will assign a probability of 1 to either heads or tails, which would suggest that we would never get the other side of the coin. Or, let's take a less extreme case: let's say we toss a coin 10 times and get three heads and seven tails. In this case, a maximum-likelihood approach will assign a probability of 0.3 to heads and 0.7 to tails, which is not...

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