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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

You're reading from   Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Explore industry-ready time series forecasting using modern machine learning and deep learning

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Product type Paperback
Published in Nov 2022
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781803246802
Length 552 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Manu Joseph Manu Joseph
Author Profile Icon Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
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Table of Contents (26) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series
2. Chapter 1: Introducing Time Series FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data 4. Chapter 3: Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data 5. Chapter 4: Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast 6. Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series
7. Chapter 5: Time Series Forecasting as Regression 8. Chapter 6: Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting 9. Chapter 7: Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting 10. Chapter 8: Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models 11. Chapter 9: Ensembling and Stacking 12. Chapter 10: Global Forecasting Models 13. Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series
14. Chapter 11: Introduction to Deep Learning 15. Chapter 12: Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series 16. Chapter 13: Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series 17. Chapter 14: Attention and Transformers for Time Series 18. Chapter 15: Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models 19. Chapter 16: Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting 20. Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting
21. Chapter 17: Multi-Step Forecasting 22. Chapter 18: Evaluating Forecasts – Forecast Metrics 23. Chapter 19: Evaluating Forecasts – Validation Strategies 24. Index 25. Other Books You May Enjoy

Single-step-ahead recurrent neural networks

Although we took a little detour to check out how DL regression models can be used to train the same global models we learned about in Chapter 10, Global Forecasting Models, now we are back to looking at DL models and architectures specifically built for time series. And as always, we will look at simple one-step-ahead and local models first before moving on to more complex modeling paradigms. In fact, we have another chapter (Chapter 15, Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models) entirely devoted to techniques we can use to train global DL models.

Now, let’s bring our attention back to one-step-ahead local models. We saw recurrent neural networks (RNNs) (vanilla RNN, long short-term memory (LSTM), and gated recurrent unit (GRU)) as a few blocks we can use for sequences such as time series. Now, let’s see how we can use them in an end-to-end (E2E) model on the dataset we have been working on (the London smart...

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