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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

You're reading from   Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python Explore industry-ready time series forecasting using modern machine learning and deep learning

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Product type Paperback
Published in Nov 2022
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781803246802
Length 552 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Manu Joseph Manu Joseph
Author Profile Icon Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
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Table of Contents (26) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series
2. Chapter 1: Introducing Time Series FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Acquiring and Processing Time Series Data 4. Chapter 3: Analyzing and Visualizing Time Series Data 5. Chapter 4: Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast 6. Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series
7. Chapter 5: Time Series Forecasting as Regression 8. Chapter 6: Feature Engineering for Time Series Forecasting 9. Chapter 7: Target Transformations for Time Series Forecasting 10. Chapter 8: Forecasting Time Series with Machine Learning Models 11. Chapter 9: Ensembling and Stacking 12. Chapter 10: Global Forecasting Models 13. Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series
14. Chapter 11: Introduction to Deep Learning 15. Chapter 12: Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series 16. Chapter 13: Common Modeling Patterns for Time Series 17. Chapter 14: Attention and Transformers for Time Series 18. Chapter 15: Strategies for Global Deep Learning Forecasting Models 19. Chapter 16: Specialized Deep Learning Architectures for Forecasting 20. Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting
21. Chapter 17: Multi-Step Forecasting 22. Chapter 18: Evaluating Forecasts – Forecast Metrics 23. Chapter 19: Evaluating Forecasts – Validation Strategies 24. Index 25. Other Books You May Enjoy

Using time-varying information

The GFM(ML) used all the available features. So obviously, that model had access to a lot more information than the GFM(DL) we have built till now. The GFM(DL) we just built only takes in the history and nothing else. Let’s change that by including time-varying information. We will just use time-varying real features this time because dealing with categorical features is a topic I want to leave for the next section.

We initialize the training dataset the same way as before, but we add time_varying_known_reals=feat_config.time_varying_known_reals to the initialization parameters. Now that we have all the datasets created, let’s move on to setting up the model.

To set up the model, we need to understand one concept. We are now using the history of the target and time-varying known features. In Figure 15.3, we saw how TimeSeriesDataset arranges the different kinds of variables in PyTorch tensors. In the previous section, we used only...

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