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SAS for Finance

You're reading from   SAS for Finance Forecasting and data analysis techniques with real-world examples to build powerful financial models

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Product type Paperback
Published in May 2018
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781788624565
Length 306 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Author (1):
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Harish Gulati Harish Gulati
Author Profile Icon Harish Gulati
Harish Gulati
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Table of Contents (9) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Time Series Modeling in the Financial Industry FREE CHAPTER 2. Forecasting Stock Prices and Portfolio Decisions using Time Series 3. Credit Risk Management 4. Budget and Demand Forecasting 5. Inflation Forecasting for Financial Planning 6. Managing Customer Loyalty Using Time Series Data 7. Transforming Time Series – Market Basket and Clustering 8. Other Books You May Enjoy

The need for the Markov model

Given the range of models we are discussing in this book, is there a need to discuss Markov models? When we speak about forecasting, one of the main inputs is the historical information. This could be in the form of a time series. However, Markov models don't need historical information to be able to forecast. When we build a Markov model, we are interested in the state (value/behavior/phenomenon) of a subject at the present time. We are also interested in the states that the subject can get transitioned to and the transition probabilities involved. A textbook definition of the Markov model would be a stochastic model describing a sequence of possible events in which the probability of each event depends only on the state attained in the previous event. To understand the terms better, let's look at the states that a car being driven may...

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