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Hands-On Simulation Modeling with Python

You're reading from   Hands-On Simulation Modeling with Python Develop simulation models to get accurate results and enhance decision-making processes

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Product type Paperback
Published in Jul 2020
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781838985097
Length 346 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
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Author (1):
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Giuseppe Ciaburro Giuseppe Ciaburro
Author Profile Icon Giuseppe Ciaburro
Giuseppe Ciaburro
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Table of Contents (16) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Section 1: Getting Started with Numerical Simulation
2. Chapter 1: Introducing Simulation Models FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Understanding Randomness and Random Numbers 4. Chapter 3: Probability and Data Generation Processes 5. Section 2: Simulation Modeling Algorithms and Techniques
6. Chapter 4: Exploring Monte Carlo Simulations 7. Chapter 5: Simulation-Based Markov Decision Processes 8. Chapter 6: Resampling Methods 9. Chapter 7: Using Simulation to Improve and Optimize Systems 10. Section 3: Real-World Applications
11. Chapter 8: Using Simulation Models for Financial Engineering 12. Chapter 9: Simulating Physical Phenomena Using Neural Networks 13. Chapter 10: Modeling and Simulation for Project Management 14. Chapter 11: What's Next? 15. Other Books You May Enjoy

Applying Monte Carlo simulation

Monte Carlo simulation used to study the response of a model to randomly generated inputs. The simulation process takes place in the following three phases:

  1. N inputs are generated randomly.
  2. A simulation is performed for each of the N inputs.
  3. The outputs of the simulations are aggregated and examined. The most common measures include estimating the average value of an output and distributing the output values, as well as the minimum or maximum output value.

Monte Carlo simulation is widely used for the analysis of financial, physical, and mathematical models.

Generating probability distributions

The generation of probability distributions that cannot be found with analytical methods can easily be addressed with Monte Carlo methods. For example, let's say we want to estimate the probability distribution of the damage caused by earthquakes in a year in Japan.

Important Note

In this type of analysis, there are two...

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