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Data Forecasting and Segmentation Using Microsoft Excel

You're reading from   Data Forecasting and Segmentation Using Microsoft Excel Perform data grouping, linear predictions, and time series machine learning statistics without using code

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Product type Paperback
Published in May 2022
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781803247731
Length 324 pages
Edition 1st Edition
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Author (1):
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Fernando Roque Fernando Roque
Author Profile Icon Fernando Roque
Fernando Roque
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Table of Contents (19) Chapters Close

Preface 1. Part 1 – An Introduction to Machine Learning Functions
2. Chapter 1: Understanding Data Segmentation FREE CHAPTER 3. Chapter 2: Applying Linear Regression 4. Chapter 3: What is Time Series? 5. Part 2 – Grouping Data to Find Segments and Outliers
6. Chapter 4: Introduction to Data Grouping 7. Chapter 5: Finding the Optimal Number of Single Variable Groups 8. Chapter 6: Finding the Optimal Number of Multi-Variable Groups 9. Chapter 7: Analyzing Outliers for Data Anomalies 10. Part 3 – Simple and Multiple Linear Regression Analysis
11. Chapter 8: Finding the Relationship between Variables 12. Chapter 9: Building, Training, and Validating a Linear Model 13. Chapter 10: Building, Training, and Validating a Multiple Regression Model 14. Part 4 – Predicting Values with Time Series
15. Chapter 11: Testing Data for Time Series Compliance 16. Chapter 12: Working with Time Series Using the Centered Moving Average and a Trending Component 17. Chapter 13: Training, Validating, and Running the Model 18. Other Books You May Enjoy

Calculating the f-statistics

The f-statistics are another test to see whether the slope is equal to zero. The null hypothesis is that the slope is zero. The f-statistics test whether we can reject this. To calculate it, we have to define the mean squared error first.

The regression for the mean squared error is the explained variation regression (SSE) divided by the regression degrees of freedom minus 1. In this example, we have the regression for two variables. The degree of freedom is 1:

Regression Mean Squared Error = SSR / Regression Degrees of Freedom
Regression Mean Squared Error = 610.277 / 1 = 610.277

The residual mean squared error is the unexplained variation residual sum of squares (SSE) divided by the degrees of freedom of the residuals. The residual degrees of freedom are the number of records of the data source minus 2. In this case, we have 23 records. The degrees of freedom are 21:

Residual Mean Squared Error = Unexplained Variation Residual Sum of Squares...
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